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Saturday, 25 March 2017

CapitaLand Retail China Trust

27/3/2017
Accumulate:
  1. Cheap valuation - PNAV 0.87, Dividend yield 7%
  2. Strong fundamentals - Occupancy, Gearing, NPI
  3. China economic growth
Metrics
Last Done (as of 27/3/2017): S$1.435
AUM: S$2.54 billion
Debt: Gearing 35.3%, WADM 1.84 years, 87.5% fixed, Cost of debt 2.81%, 93.9% SGD
Occupancy: 95.9%, WALE 5 years
NAV: S$1.65, PNAV 0.87
Dividend: 2016 DPU S$0.1005, Dividend yield 7%, CAGR ~1%
NPI: CAGR ~7%
DRP offered

Operations
Retail REIT: 11 Shopping malls
China, Hong Kong and Macau

Growth story
FY 2016 China GDP grew 6.7%* y-o-y
Chinese Academy of Social Sciences expected FY 2017 GDP at 6.5%
FY 2016 urban disposable income and expenditure increased 5.6%* and 5.7%* y-o-y respectively
Continue to seek acquisition opportunities to strengthen CRCT’s portfolio

Risks
SGDRMB - Strengthening of SGD will affect DPU received in RMB
Change in property tax basis for Beijing malls increased tax expenses


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