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Wednesday, 14 June 2017

Singapore REIT watchlist

    1. Mapletree Commercial Trust - 4.4b
    2. Keppel REIT - 3.7b
    3. Mapletree Industrial Trust - 3.3b
    4. Mapletree GCC Trust - 3b
    5. Croesus Retail Trust - 1.5b - japan, low rates, potential takeover
    6. Keppel DC REIT - 1.4b
    7. CapitaLand Retail China Trust - 1.4b
    8. Lippo Malls Trust - 1.2b - indonesia, strong spending growth, acquisitions
    9. Frasers Commercial Trust - 1.1b
    10. First REIT - 1b
    11. Viva Industrial Trust - 800m
    12. Ascendas India Trust - 
    13. Frasers L&I Trust - 
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Hong Kong Stock Watchlist

Hong Kong Stock Watchlist:
  1. 0700.HK TENCENT - 331.19b - gaming
  2. 2318.HK PING AN - 117.31b - insurance
  3. 0175.HK GEELY AUTO - 17.33b - automotive
  4. 2018.HK AAC TECH - 15.38b - handset and acoustic manufacturing
  5. 2238.HK GAC GROUP - 11.7b - automotive
  6. 3606.HK FUYAO GLASS - 9.75b - glass manufacturing for vehicles
  7. 1093.HK CSPC PHARMA - 8.86b - pharma
  8. 0669.HK TECHTRONIC IND - 8.55b - power tools manufacturer
  9. 0696.HK TRAVELSKY TECH - 8.36b - it services
  10. 2020.HK ANTA SPORTS - 8.08b - sportwear
  11. 3311.HK CHINA STATE CON - 7.14b - construction
  12. 3969.HK CHINA CRSC - 6.54b - railway services
  13. 0285.HK BYD ELECTRONIC - 5.11b - handset component manufacturer
  14. 0425.HK MINTH GROUP - 4.73b - automotive component manufacturer
  15. 1316.HK NEXTEER - 4.01b - automotive component manufacturer
  16. 0958.HK HN RENEWABLES - 2.98b - renewable electric utility
  17. 6198.HK QINGDAO PORT - 2.78b - port services
  18. 0345.HK VITASOY INT'L - 2.19b - food and beverage supplier
  19. 0698.HK TONGDA GROUP - 1.55b - handset electricals manufacturing
  20. 1448.HK FU SHOU YUAN - 1.34b - funeral services
  21. 0354.HK CHINASOFT INT'L - 1.34b - it services
  22. 1579.HK - Yihai International Holding Ltd - 360m - food manufacturer
  23. 2283.HK TK GROUP HLDG - 351.11m - plastics manufacturer
  24. 1061.HK ESSEX BIO-TECH - 316.12m - pharma eye
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Singapore Stocks Watchlist - 14/62017

Singapore Stocks Watchlist - 14/62017
  1. D05.SI DBS - 37.98b - bank
  2. V03.SI Venture - 2.51b - industrial manufacturing
  3. OV8.SI Sheng Siong - 1.07b - grocery
  4. CGN.SI Best World - 576m - beauty product sales
  5. AP4.SI Riverstone - 555m - rubber glove manufacturer
  6. BHQ.SI Sunningdale Tech - 295m - industrial manufacturing
  7. CH8.SI China Sunsine - 291m - chemical manufacturer
  8. KJ9.SI Cogent - 274m - logistics
  9. 1D8.SI Singapore O&G - 241m - healthcare
  10. RE4.SI Geo Energy Res - 222m - coal producer
  11. 5OT.SI SingMedical - 208m - healthcare
  12. 5TG.SI 800 Super - 171m - rubbish
  13. AWX.SI AEM - 134m - semiconductor industrial manufacturer
  14. 40T.SI ISEC - 125m - healthcare
  15. T12.SI Tat Seng Pkg - 68m
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US Stock List - 14/6/2017

  1. GOOGL - Alphabet Inc - 673.57b - tech, advertising
  2. AMZN - Amazon.com, Inc. - 467b - e-commerce
  3. FB - Facebook Inc - 443.12b - social media, advertising
  4. BABA - Alibaba Group Holding Ltd - 345b - e-commerce
  5. TSM - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd - 184.3b - semiconductor manufacturer
  6. DIS - Walt Disney Company (The) Commo - 168.90b - entertainment
  7. SBUX - Starbucks Corporation - 92.43b - food and beverage
  8. NKE - Nike, Inc. Common Stock - 87.10b - sportswear
  9. NVDA - NVIDIA Corporation - 86.26b - graphics and artificial intelligence
  10. NVO - Novo Nordisk A/S Common Stock - 80.07b - pharma
  11. CRM - Salesforce.com Inc - 64.41b - it services
  12. GM - General Motors Company Common S - 50.63b - automotive
  13. NTES - NetEase Inc - 37.81b - gaming
  14. APH - Amphenol Corp - 23.03b - electricals manufacturer
  15. TSN - Tyson Foods, Inc. Common Stock - 21.25b - food producer
  16. ULTA - Ulta Salon Cosmetics and Fragrance Inc - 19.07b - beauty services
  17. WB - Weibo Corp - 16.07b - social media, advertising
  18. CNC - Centene Corp - 12.71b - healthcare
  19. UHS - Universal Health Services, Inc. - 11.33b - healthcare, hospitals
  20. ANET - Arista Networks Inc - 10.54b - it services
  21. ZTO - ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc - 10.37b - e-commerce logistics
  22. TAL - TAL Education Group American De - 9.23b - education
  23. VEEV - Veeva Systems Inc - 9.17b - it services 
  24. NVR - NVR, Inc. Common Stock - 8.59b - home construction
  25. CGNX - Cognex Corporation - 8.09b - tech manufacturer
  26. ATHM - Autohome Inc - 4.86b - online automobile website
  27. THO - Thor Industries, Inc. Common St - 4.76b - recreational vehicles
  28. PAYC - Paycom Software Inc - 3.93b - it services
  29. GRUB - GrubHub Inc - 3.77b - restaurant website
  30. ELLI - Ellie Mae Inc - 3.68b - it services
  31. LCII - LCI Industries - 2.17b - automotive component manufacturer
  32. LOPE - Grand Canyon Education, Inc. - 3.69b - education
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Friday, 9 June 2017

Centene (CNC)

9/6/2017
accumulate

metrics
  • market cap usd 13.37b
  • pe 19.15, pb 2.2
  • 5 year: revenue cagr 38.04%, earnings cagr 30%, consistent
  • total debt to equity 78.97%
  • roe 13.88, roa 4.05, recent fall
  • growing cash pile with strong operating cash flow
operations
  • multi-national healthcare enterprise that provides a portfolio of services to government sponsored healthcare programs, focusing on under-insured and uninsured individuals
  • Managed Care 92% revenues
    • provides health plan coverage to individuals through government subsidized programs, including Medicaid
  • and Specialty Services 8%
  • We provide or arrange health care benefits for services normally covered by Medicare, plus a broad range of health care benefits for services not covered by traditional Medicare, usually in exchange for a fixed monthly premium per member from CMS
  • We offer commercial health care products to individuals and large and small employer groups as well as products to individuals through the Health Insurance Marketplace
  • 30 years track record
  • the federal government is a significant customer to our Specialty Services segment due to our Federal Services business
  • We operate in a highly competitive environment
outlook
  • We believe recognition of the value of managed care as a means of delivering improved health outcomes for Medicaid beneficiaries and effectively controlling costs will continue to strengthen. A growing number of states have mandated that their Medicaid recipients enroll in managed care plans. Other states are considering moving to a mandated managed care approach
  • revenue guidance for 2017: up 17% yoy 
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Alibaba Group Holding (BABA)

9/6/2017
buy
unstoppable e-commerce giant with strong and consistent growth. #1 e-commerce sites and diversified business. pe 50.27 reasonable for strong growth in bullish market.

metrics
  • market cap usd 310.8b
  • pe 50.27, pb 7.57
  • 5 year: revenue cagr 35.62%, earnings cagr 38.68%, consistent
  • total debt to equity 32.55%
  • roe 17.5%, roa 10.62%, inconsistent
  • growing cash pile with strong operating cash flow
operations
  • taobao.com - #1 e-commerce app in china
  • lazada.com - #1 e-commerce app in 5 SEA countries
  • many others #1 everywhere
  • segments: core commerce, cloud computing, digital media and entertainment, innovation and initiatives, strategic investments
outlook
  • unstoppable
  • goal to reach usd 1tn gross merchandise volume by 2020, currently usd 547 bn 
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Alphabet (GOOGL)

9/6/2017
buy
monopoly company, owning the #1 search engine in the world and #1 video streaming website in the world. revenues from advertisements expected to grow into the future. ultra large cap stock with strong yoy growth and reasonable pe of 32.37.

metrics
  • market cap usd 687.5b
  • pe 32.37, pb 4.80
  • 5 year: revenue cagr 14.37%, earnings cagr 12.75%, consistent
  • total debt to equity 2.83%
  • roe 15.02%, roa 12.37%, stable
  • growing cash pile and operating cash flow
operations
  • We generate revenues primarily by delivering relevant, cost-effective online advertising
    • Google.com, the Google app, YouTube, and other Google owned and operated properties like Gmail, Google Maps, and Google Play
  • Apps, in-app purchases, and digital content in the Google Play store; • Hardware; • Google Cloud offerings; and • Other miscellaneous products and services.
  • 50% revenue in US, 30% EMEA, 15% APAC, 5% rest of world
outlook
  • online shift will continue to benefit our business
  • Non-advertising revenues have grown over time
    • hardware sales, sales of apps, in-app purchases and digital content products, and service and licensing fees
risks
  • foreign exchange risk from revenues derived overseas
  • competition
  • economic conditions
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